Macroeconomics

27
Jun

Large-Scale Disaster Preparedness and Management in China vs. the West

If there is one thing the Covid-19 situation has made clear, it’s that more attention needs to be paid to the large-scale disaster preparedness and management dimension. In other words, to the manner in which countries are prepared to tackle proverbial white as well as black swans, whether we are referring to a virus and

25
Jun

Potential Inflationary Covid-19 Effects in China and Elsewhere?

As an economist, you are taking on a great deal of professional risk by even pronouncing “the i-word” (inflation) at this point in time, the risk of being publicly ridiculed due to the fact that the status quo revolves so heavily around combating the exact opposite of inflation (on dealing with deflationary forces) that the

17
Jun

How Has the Coronavirus Impacted China?

The coronavirus is currently reshaping the world we live in. Odds are that regardless of where you live, you’ve been impacted in some way, shape or form. Even if you haven’t gotten sick, you’ve probably been forced to work from home or quarantine yourself inside your home. A staggeringly large number of individuals have seen

15
Jun

Global Deleveraging and Its (Potential) Impact on China

This much needs to be understood right off the bat: for our current (worldwide) economic system to survive, debt-fueled consumption is essential. To put it differently, what we are dealing with on a global scale is a “paradox of thrift” situation, where the global financial system and subsequently global economy would risk grinding to a

13
Jun

China in the Context of a (Great) Depression?

Time and time again, analysts are voicing concerns about a potential recession in China, especially in a post-coronavirus framework. For example, scenarios which involve let’s say a one-year economic contraction, with the many consequences this brings about… not just for China but for everyone else as well, in the context of a deeply interconnected economy

12
Jun

Just How Serious Would a Recession Scenario Be for China… and Everyone Else?

The economic landscape is pretty much always dominated by a wide range of controversial topics and among them, a popular one tends to be that of recessions, with two broad sides being relatively easily identifiable. On the one hand, there are those who consider recessions bitter but necessary medicine (Austrian Economists, for example) and believe

11
Jun

Is the Trade War Good or Bad for China?

The trade war between the United States and China seemed to be all you heard about in 2018 and the beginning of 2019. Although it has taken a backseat to several more pressing issues that have come up recently, this figurative war is still raging. As a trade war between the world’s two largest economies

10
Jun

China’s Economic Growth Projection (5-10 years)

If you’ve been living in the U.S. for the past 10-20 years and keep up with the economy then chances are that China has come up in the conversation quite a bit. China is oftentimes considered the elephant in the room because they’ve been on an economic tear over the past several decades to rival

31
May

Just How Dependent Is China on the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC)?

Time and time again, headlines surrounding various points of tension between the United States and the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) pop up, with experts fervently commenting on one aspect or another of this equation but oftentimes ignoring the elephant in the room: the fact that at this point in time and most likely

30
May

Will PIIGS Fly? China’s Relationship With Portugal, Italy, Ireland, Greece and Spain

Few things scare markets more than deflationary crashes such as the 2007-2008 Great Recession but sovereign default scenarios most definitely do. Why? Simply because the status quo in terms of public discourse revolved around sovereigns being foolproof for an extended period of time, with occasional “Twilight Zone” situations such as ultra-vulnerable nations like Spain (which