Macroeconomics

10
Jan

Volatility in China: Deal Breaker, Necessary Evil or Opportunity?

Whether we are referring to anything from asset prices to the legislative dimension, volatility is most definitely something one cannot ignore in China, more so than in more mature Western jurisdictions. Some investors choose to stay away from China altogether for this very reason (in other words, volatility represents a deal breaker) As far as

25
Dec

(How) Can Bank Runs Occur in China?

As peculiar as it may seem, many analysts believe that one of the “perks” associated with authoritarian governance is represented by the fact that one can “have everything under control” when it comes to the main follies of capitalism: excessive greed, excessive fear, manic-depressive behavior which leads to anything from irrational exuberance on the way

23
Dec

Could China Collapse? A Socio-Politico-Economic Perspective

“Yes, thank you for reading” would be a superficially straightforward answer. Here at ChinaFund.com, however, those of you who are not first-time readers are most likely well aware of the fact that we pride ourselves in digging deep. And in precisely that spirit, we want to make it perfectly clear right from the beginning that

20
Dec

The Lancang-Mekong Cooperation (LMC): Why Investors Should Pay Attention

We have covered geopolitical entities with a broader scope here on ChinaFund.com (the ASEAN, that you can read about by clicking HERE, and the even broader APEC, analyzed through an article you can access by clicking HERE) and it should be obvious why those are relevant to the average China-oriented investor. What about “narrower” ones

09
Dec

China and the Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation (APEC) Forum in a Nutshell

In a previous article, we’ve put the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) under the microscope and while it cannot be considered a 100% homogeneous entity, it is… well, homogeneous enough to make analyzing it relatively straightforward. The same cannot be said about the Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation, established back in 1989 so as to nurture

06
Dec

China and Latin America: Infrastructure Investments, Sustainability Concerns and the US Variable

We have covered the trade relationships between China and various entities here on ChinaFund.com extensively, but Latin America has been for the most part ignored (other than the fact that Brazil was put under the microscope through our BRICS article). Through this article, it’s time to put an end to that and tackle one of

04
Dec

China and Singapore: From “Third China” Concerns to Pragmatic Friendship

Right from the beginning, it is worth pointing out that Singapore has always done its best to avoid being labeled as the “Third China” (with the other two being, of course, the People’s Republic of China and the Republic of China – Taiwan) in light of the fact that three of four Singapore citizens are

25
Nov

China and the Philippines: “Pivot to China” Despite South China Sea Tensions?

According to Pew Research Center data, over 90% of those who live in the Philippines are worried that tensions around geopolitical hot spots such as the South China Sea between China and its neighbors could lead to a military confrontation. And, indeed, the Philippines is a significant variable in the South China Sea equation, with

13
Nov

China, Inner Mongolia and… (Outer) Mongolia?

Misconceptions around this topic abound, starting with the very status of Mongolia itself. Is Mongolia an independent nation? Yes. Is Mongolia a part of China? Kind of. Does “Outer” Mongolia exist? Kind of… but not really. If you were not confused by now, you most certainly are at this point, so it is time to

08
Nov

Black Swan Events in China… or China as a Black Swan Event?

Throughout his books, Nassim Taleb frequently refers to so-called black swan events, which he explains through a now-famous turkey analogy. Simply put, a turkey who is fed each and every day by his generous owners has every reason to believe humans are his friends. With each day that passes, more data strengthens the turkey’s viewpoint…